Tuesday on the RealClearPolitics podcast, Emerson Polling Director Spencer Kimball joins Carl Cannon, Tom Bevan, and Andrew Walworth to break down the last-minute polls and debate which races will turn which way.

Every 10 minutes, the model runs one million hypothetical midterm elections — simulating 35 million individual Senate race outcomes in the process. Its algorithm places particular emphasis on market activity from the preceding hour. Using this method, NowCasting can see immediate responses to singular news events.

A veteran election forecaster who has tracked American politics for more than four decades is predicting a brutal midterm reckoning for President Donald Trump and the Republicans. His prediction comes as polls point to mounting trouble for Republicans, with the midterms widely seen as a verdict on the president’s record.

It’s Election Day for the pivotal 2026 midterms that will determine control of U.S. Congress - and a bunch of people are trying to make money by betting on the outcome. As of Monday (Nov. 2) at 8 p.m.

Prediction markets and pollsters both say Democrats are favored to take both the US House and Senate in the midterms. Prediction markets have been a little less certain about it, though traders' odds jumped on Tuesday on the chances of Democrats taking ...

Heidi Heitkamp, Chris Christie, Donna Brazile, and Kevi McCarthy join ABC's 'This Week' roundtable to do some last-minute handicapping for Tuesday's midterm elections.

Prediction markets' failure to call an LA primary correctly raised the possibility they can be manipulated to exaggerate the amount of support candidates have.